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Superforecasting – The Art and Science of Prediction

Professor Philip Tetlock In Conversation With Robin Ince

57 mins watch time

Posted May 2021

Business and Professional Development, Philosophy, Psychology & Personal Development

What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. But some of us do have real, demonstrable foresight, with an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average: they are the superforecasters.